基于土地利用模拟的蓄洪区村庄规划编制探索——以安徽省六安市六明村为例

Exploration on Village Planning in Flood Storage Area Based on Land Use Simulation: Taking Liuming Village, Lu'an City, Anhui Province as an Example

  • 摘要: 蓄洪区村庄在历次启用中以自身的损失换来了流域的安全。在乡村振兴背景下,如何协调蓄洪安全与村庄发展之间的矛盾,做好蓄洪区村庄的村庄规划至关重要。本文以安徽省六安市裕安区城东湖蓄洪区六明村为研究区域,运用PLUS模型,以永久基本农田、保庄圩、河流及水工设施等为限制区,对2035年六明村土地利用变化进行了3种不同发展情景的模拟预测,以指导其村庄规划的编制。研究认为:协调发展情景能在一定程度上缓解蓄洪与发展的矛盾,更贴合六明村的村庄发展定位;土地利用模拟预测结果可用于指导六明村的国土空间布局,统筹综合防灾及各项建设。

     

    Abstract: In the context of rural revitalization, it is of utmost importance to reconcile the conflict between flood storage safety and village development, and to formulate effective village planning for flood storage areas. This study selects Liuming Village, located within the Chengdong Lake flood storage area in Yu'an District, Lu'an City, Anhui Province, as the research site. Utilizing the PLUS model, it simulates and predicts three distinct development scenarios of land use changes in Liuming Village by 2035, with permanent basic farmland, Baozhuangwei, rivers, and hydraulic facilities designated as restricted areas. The aim is to provide guidance for the preparation of village planning. The research indicates that coordinated development scenarios can, to a certain extent, mitigate the conflict between flood storage and development, aligning more closely with Liuming Village's development orientation. Furthermore, the simulation and prediction results of land use can serve as a basis for guiding the spatial layout of Liuming Village, facilitating comprehensive disaster prevention and various construction projects.

     

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