Abstract:
In the context of rural revitalization, it is of utmost importance to reconcile the conflict between flood storage safety and village development, and to formulate effective village planning for flood storage areas. This study selects Liuming Village, located within the Chengdong Lake flood storage area in Yu'an District, Lu'an City, Anhui Province, as the research site. Utilizing the PLUS model, it simulates and predicts three distinct development scenarios of land use changes in Liuming Village by 2035, with permanent basic farmland, Baozhuangwei, rivers, and hydraulic facilities designated as restricted areas. The aim is to provide guidance for the preparation of village planning. The research indicates that coordinated development scenarios can, to a certain extent, mitigate the conflict between flood storage and development, aligning more closely with Liuming Village's development orientation. Furthermore, the simulation and prediction results of land use can serve as a basis for guiding the spatial layout of Liuming Village, facilitating comprehensive disaster prevention and various construction projects.