“智慧—绿色—均衡—双向”城镇化耦合评价及影响因素——以青岛市为例

Coupling Evaluation and Influencing Factors of ’Intelligence-greenization-equalizationbidirectionalizationl’ Urbanization: A Case Study of Qingdao City

  • 摘要: 智慧化、绿色化、均衡化与双向化是山东省新型城镇化发展的新标识,探究“四化”协调发展及影响因素对实现高质量新型城镇化发展具有重要意义。文章以青岛市为例,在测算2022年“四化”发展水平与耦合协调度的基础上,描述其空间格局并探究四者的空间自相关性及其影响因素。研究表明:1)从发展阶段来看,青岛市北区与崂山区“四化”耦合协调发展基础最好,分别处于良好与中级协调发展阶段,县级市则存在轻度失调的现象;2)从空间格局来看,“四化”耦合协调度在东西方向上自西向东呈现递增趋势,南北方向上呈现倒“U”型趋势;3)从影响因素来看,地区经济实力越强、对外开放水平越高、技术创新环境越好及高等教育人才越多,越有利于“四化”的协调发展;4)从交互探测来看,因子交互类型均表现为双因子增强,双因子交互作用显著提升了对“四化”耦合协调度空间分异的解释力。

     

    Abstract: Intelligence, greenization, equalization, bidirectionalization have emerged as new hallmarks of Shandong Province’s new urbanization development. Exploring the coordinated development of these four dimensions and their influencing factors is crucial for achieving high-quality urbanization. Taking Qingdao as a case study, this paper quantitatively assesses the development levels and coupling coordination degrees of these four dimensions in 2022, describes their spatial patterns, and investigates their spatial autocorrelation and influencing factors. The findings reveal: 1) Development stages: The coupling coordination of the four dimensions in Qingdao’s Shibei District and Laoshan District shows the strongest foundation, respectively at the stages of good and intermediate coordination, while county-level cities exhibit mild imbalances. 2) Spatial patterns: The coupling coordination degree demonstrates an increasing trend from west to east and an inverse U-shaped trend from north to south. 3) Influencing factors: Regions with stronger economic strength, higher openness, better technological innovation environments, and greater access to higher education talent pools demonstrate greater advantages in coordinated development. 4) Interaction detection: All factor interactions exhibit a two-factor enhancement effect,significantly improving the explanatory power for spatial differentiation in coupling coordination degrees.

     

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